Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Probability of...


Probability of contracting cancer in lifetime:
Men = 44% (1/2) Female = 38% (1/3)


Interesting article about death probabilities: http://gravityandlevity.wordpress.com/2009/07/08/your-body-wasnt-built-to-last-a-lesson-from-human-mortality-rates/

Cool application to calculate death probability based on the Gompertz law of human mortality: http://forio.com/simulate/simulation/mbean/death-probability-calculator/


Probability of your house getting struck by lightning this year:
0.5% (1/200)


Probability of getting a royal flush in poker:
.000154% (1/650,000)


Probability of dying in a plane crash:
.0000111% (1/9,000,000)


Probability of having twins (or more than 2):
2% (1/50)


Probability of baby being born on due date:
less than 5% (1/20)